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We consider a dynamical model for the loss distribution of a pool of
names. The model is based on the notion of generalized Poisson process,
allowing for the possibility of more than one jump in small time
intervals. We introduce extensions of the basic model based on
piecewise-gamma or scenario-based random intensity in the constituent
Poisson processes. The models are tractable, pricing and in particular
simulation is easy, and consistent calibration to quoted index CDO
tranches and tranchelets for several maturities is feasible, as we
illustrate with detailed numerical examples.
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